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Strategies & Market Trends : Anthony @ Equity Investigations, Dear Anthony, -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bill Ulrich who wrote (86461)	4/21/2004 8:33:56 AM
From: SI Dave	Respond to of 122087

>>Those are some "Occamic" questions I might ponder with my bookie. I suspect that had he pondered that bookie action with his attorney, he wouldn't now be a bookee.

To: Bill Ulrich who wrote (86461)	4/21/2004 9:53:10 AM
From: Jeffrey S. Mitchell	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 122087

Those are some "Occamic" questions I might ponder with my bookie. Actually, those questions probably fall under the category of conspiracy theory. The simplest solution would probably be something like "In my line of work, I routinely go undercover to better gather information. Thus, it is second nature to me. I did so this time simply to avoid calling attention to myself." Granted, the opposite happened-- Elgindy attracted all the more attention. My guess is that since he had done this so many times without any problem that it never crossed his mind he would get "caught." And if he did get questioned, I bet he figured he could easily explain his way out of things or have a "government" friend make a call or two, so no big deal. I'm not by any means excusing what he did. No way. I'm just theorizing a likely explanation based on how someone like Elgindy likely thinks. - Jeff

To: Bill Ulrich who wrote (86461)	4/21/2004 6:46:29 PM
From: Janice Shell	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 122087

A few random observations. Chronology: On Tuesday the 15th Tony was in Florida with his family, attending the funeral of Scott Helvenston. Apparently he had permission to go, given that he posted about it the next day. Where was he when he made that post? Florida, New York, California? Question: Let's assume he'd made up his mind to do a flit. Why didn't he do it while in Florida, and take his family with him? He coulda been in a Caribbean tax haven within a couple of hours. And given that he has dual citizenship, he could have turned in his US passport and retained his Egyptian nationality. That would very likely have made it far easier for him to resist extradition. He didn't do that. Presumably his family returned home. Did he go with them, or move on to NYC? He didn't post at all on Thursday the 15th. Was that when he was meeting with his attorneys? We don't know. But by Friday afternoon he was back on the boards. He was arrested less than 24 hours later. Yet in the posts he doesn't seem nervous, angry, unhappy, or excited. In his last message, he says: Dirks should be in jail,,but for some reason is walking free.... we shall soon......???? The most obvious interpretation of that remark would be that he was looking forward to his trial, and was optimistic about the outcome. Then the next day he's arrested pulling an absolutely idiotic stunt. WHY? If we assume that he was indeed planning to go on the lam, why did he choose this moment? Anyone who's followed Martha's Via Crucis knows that if you're convicted you get to go home for a few months to await sentencing. And of course Tony's well-aware of this, given that he's been convicted once before. In that case, the sentencing followed quickly on the trial, but he then went home and didn't have to check in to slam for several months. So why flee before the trial? Why not wait to see if he was exonerated, and THEN do it, if that was his intention? I just don't get it.