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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Elsewhere who wrote (130237)	4/28/2004 9:00:46 AM
From: Hawkmoon	Respond to of 281500

A personality profile claiming somebody is deceiving should also take into account that, if the person is smart, he might take it to the next level and deceive about the deception. Saddam could have also initiated back-channel negotiations with UNSCOM, showing full co-operation.. But that was not his profile.. His very name means "to confront".. It's been his MO for all of his life.. And it certainly has been his MO for the time he's been in government. But what we have to ask ourselves is exactly why the UNSC phrased those cease-fire and disarmament resolutions in the manner that they did. Was it to create a climate of confidence that Saddam was moderating his aggressive policies towards neighboring regimes? Or was it for the purpose of providing him an excuse for his destabilization of the region? The fear of his subordinates would have shrunk considerably with an according rise of the probability of a coup by some general. For a dictator like Saddam there is no exit strategy. I can't quite buy that Jochen.. Look at how much fear the SRG and Fedeyeen induced in the Iraqi population.. Saddam was reknowned for eliminating his rivals, with very little fear of repercussion.. He even had the family of his traitorous son-in-law (who became a traitor due to Uday's threats on his life) kill him, so that he wouldn't bear the blame or responsibility. He was quite clever that way.. and he certainly had the financial means at hand.. But even with all of the subterfuge, folks like David Kay opined that Saddam's regime was slowly coming unglued anyway... All Saddam had to do was pay off some foreign government to give him refuge. Syria probably would have even obliged him. Hawk