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Technology Stocks : Amkor Technology Inc (AMKR) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jim Oravetz who wrote (1026)5/8/2004 5:41:00 PM
From: Czechsinthemail  Respond to of 1056
 
AMKR is trading up following resolution of litigation and an upgrade from CSFB to Outperform. It is interesting because CSFB lowered their target price on AMKR last week from 19 to 10 1/2, now they have raised it to 12. I haven't read the CSFB comments, but presumably it reflects reduced drag from legal costs.

Also, AMKR presented at the JP Morgan Technology and Telecom Conference. The presentation was generally very upbeat. The main theme was that IDM's haven't been investing in assembly and test equipment, so as the semi expansion continues, they are outsourcing more of their assembly and test business. Consequently, the OSAT industry is growing faster than the semiconductor industry as a whole. OSAT business is primarily driven by the number of units and capacity utilization. It differs from the semiconductor cycle as a whole in that OSAT typically remains profitable as unit growth and utilization stay high even though that may reflect oversupply and declining margins for semiconductor companies. The general trends toward increasing unit volumes of semiconductors, increasing complexity and diversity in chip designs generating more outsourcing assembly and test business, and the reluctance of IDM's to commit significant capex to assembly & test equipment -- all work toward industry growth.

Most of AMKR's business is assembly-based. Generally OSAT companies are trying to attach more testing to the assembly work they do. Currently, AMKR tests about 30% of what they assemble, and they hope to grow that percentage.

The company's strengths include relatively high gross margins, a broad and diverse customer base, and sophisticated package design capabilities. The biggest weak spot is high debt. They expect to be FCF positive in 3Q and 4Q, and plan to use cash to pay down debt.

Generally they see a very strong situation for their industry throughout this year and probably 2005. The semi industry is seeing capacity limitations despite an expectation of 20% growth in foundry output this year. That growth is not expected to be sufficient to meet demand. Most models don't see supply and demand coming into balance until at least 3Q05.

Though 1Q was plagued by uneven flowthrough and wafer delays, I think the general trend going forward through the year should be very positive for the OSAT companies, and all are available at bargain prices. Though I think AMKR should do well, my preference is the STTS/CHPC combination. At current prices, the merged company grows to about the same market cap as AMKR: $1.68B for STTS/CHPC, $1.61B for AMKR. Using average guidance for 2Q, STTS/CHPC expects to grow revenue about 9% and net income around 100% sequentially; AMKR's average revenue growth guidance is around 6.5%. AMKR's earnings guidance is very broad -- from down 14% to up 57% sequentially. A big part of the logic behind the STTS/CHPC merger is revenue and cost synergies. The revenue synergy comes because they have little overlap in customers, so there is lots of cross-selling opportunity, plus better opportunities for attaching assembly and testing. The merger improves their geographical representation so that they are closer to more key markets. On the cost side, they benefit from economies of scale in purchasing equipment and materials.

The other feature of STTS/CHPC is that you can buy in to the combined company at a discounted price via CHPC. The terms of the merger call for each CHPC share to receive .87 STTS ADS shares, and it is expected to close in June.



To: Jim Oravetz who wrote (1026)5/19/2004 4:48:49 PM
From: Jim Oravetz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1056
 
Amkor Scores Big with Big Blue

Online Staff -- Electronic News, 5/18/2004
Test and assembly subcon Amkor Technology Inc. said late Monday that it has entered into a strategic long-term agreement with IBM Corp. for chip assembly and test services.
Four principal elements compose the relationship framework, according to Amkor: a long-term supply agreement that Amkor estimates could generate revenue in excess of $1.5 billion through 2010; Amkor will buy the land and 950,000 square foot manufacturing complex that was built for and currently leased by IBM in Shanghai, China; Amkor will acquire IBM's Singapore test operations, including high-end testers, related assets and employees; and Amkor will enter into a cross-licensing agreement covering select IBM and Amkor assembly and test IP.
Under the long-term supply agreement, Amkor will receive the substantial majority of IBM's subcontract wire bond and flip chip assembly and final test business, the Chandler, Ariz.-based subcon said.
The deal is worth approximately $145 million, consisting of $114 million for land, buildings and fixtures, and $31 million for equipment and intangibles. Amkor will pay IBM a total of $63 million for fixtures, equipment, intangibles and intellectual property, with payments of $20 million at closing and $43 million in Q4. The companies expect to close the deal by the end of this month.
Amkor will pay $82 million to the China building developer in Q4 as well, as part of the deal.
"We expect the incremental revenue associated with this supply agreement will be modest in 2004, with most of the effort this year focused on qualifying a number of new products," Oleg Khaykin, Amkor's VP of corporate development, said in a statement. "However, based on preliminary volume estimates, we anticipate the revenue associated with this supply agreement could exceed $150 million in 2005."
"With 75 percent of the world's assembly and test performed internally by integrated device manufacturers, this landmark collaboration reflects our belief that the most efficient way to successfully foster outsourcing by IDMs is by creating strategic relationships with industry leaders like IBM," James Kim, Amkor's chairman and CEO, said in a statement.
Most of the assembly business associated with Amkor's IBM relationship will use high volume, advanced packages, including MicroLeadFrame, ChipArray BGA and stacked die packages, which will improve utilization of not only the company's existing lines, but also our planned equipment purchases, according to Bruce Freyman, Amkor's president and COO. "The 950,000 square-foot facility in Shanghai's Waigaoqiao Free Trade Zone which was built for IBM is a world-class complex that is ideally suited to our long-term expansion needs in China," he said in a statement.

IBM jettisons IC-packaging units, sells plants to Amkor
By Mark LaPedus , Silicon Strategies
May 18, 2004 (9:59 AM EDT)
URL: eet.com
EAST FISHKILL, N.Y. — IBM Corp. late Monday (May 17) moved to jettison its chip-assembly and packaging operations, announcing a major deal with Amkor Technology Inc.
As part of the complex, four-part deal, Amkor will acquire IBM's Singapore test operations, including testers, assets and employees. Amkor will also buy the land and a 950,000-square-foot manufacturing complex built for IBM in Shanghai, China.
In addition, Amkor will receive the substantial majority of IBM's subcontract wire bond and flip-chip assembly and final test business. Amkor said agreement could generate in excess of $1.5 billion in assembly and test revenue through 2010.
Finally, Amkor will enter into a cross-licensing agreement covering select IBM and Amkor assembly and test technology.
The transaction is valued at approximately $145 million, consisting of $114 million for land, buildings and fixtures, and $31 million for equipment and intangibles.
Amkor will pay IBM a total of $63 million for fixtures, equipment, intangibles and intellectual property, with payments of $20 million at closing, which is expected by May 31, and $43 million in the fourth quarter of 2004. Amkor will pay $82 million to the China building developer in the fourth quarter.
The moves represent the latest efforts by IBM to cut costs within its loss-ridden semiconductor unit. IBM has been selling off select standard chip products to various companies.
Last month, IBM disclosed it lost $150 million alone within its struggling semiconductor unit due to ongoing chip yield problems and a drop in intellectual property revenues. One problem is ongoing yield issues within its 300-mm fab here.
However, IBM's struggling Microelectronics Division may be at a turning point. IBM Microelectronics is currently running at full capacity within its 200- and 300-mm fabs amid strong and sudden demand for its ASIC and silicon foundry businesses, according to executives from the unit. The chip unit continues to wrestle with its chip yields, but claims it is close to resolving these nagging issues.
IBM's move to jettison its chip-packaging operations also underscores a recent trend. Many integrated device manufacturers (IDMs) have begun outsourcing more of their internal IC-packaging production to independent subcontractors. Many IDMs have simply sold off their chip-packaging units to subcontractors.
Amkor has been especially active in this arena. "We expect the incremental revenue associated with this supply agreement will be modest in 2004, with most of the effort this year focused on qualifying a number of new products," said Oleg Khaykin, Amkor's executive vice president for corporate development. "However, based on preliminary volume estimates, we anticipate the revenue associated with this supply agreement could exceed $150 million in 2005."
James Kim, Amkor's chairman and CEO, said the deal expands the company's presence in Asia. "In addition, acquiring IBM's test operation in Singapore broadens Amkor's operational footprint with immediate advanced test capability in this important center for microelectronics manufacturing," Kim said.