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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (130344)4/28/2004 10:26:23 PM
From: Sam  Respond to of 281500
 
Carl also said there would be no war. vbg.

For heaven's sake, you and others keep repeating that as though this one bad prediction means that everything else he said must be wrong or even ludicrous.

Most of the people repeating this believed so many more things that were wrong it would be difficult to list them all. Like the cheering crowds of Iraqis. Like WMDs. Like the war would be short and sweet, and any leftover rebellion in Iraq over in a matter of months. Certainly none would have predicted 110 or so deaths in a month a year after "major hostilities" were over. Indeed, there were a number of predictions that everything would just sort of die down after Saddam was captured back in December.

What Carl predicted about the Iraqi resistance--as opposed to about Bush and his admin--has been far more accurate than almost anyone on this board. And what he writes about human nature in general is far more accurate than what anyone on this board writes as well.



To: carranza2 who wrote (130344)4/29/2004 1:08:21 AM
From: Elsewhere  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 281500
 
Carl also said there would be no war.

Only because he underestimated the willingness of Pres. Bush to go against established military and political guidelines how to conduct a war successfully.