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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Neocon who wrote (130686)	4/30/2004 5:01:11 PM
From: FaultLine	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Hi Neocon, Yes, America is waking up: Then I guess I'm falling asleep... :o/ --fl@contrary.com

To: Neocon who wrote (130686)	4/30/2004 6:02:55 PM
From: Enigma	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

It's a sad commentary on the education of the American Public. 6 more months to wake up? But in a poll I read today Kerry and Bush are in a statistical dead heat with Nader in the mix.

To: Neocon who wrote (130686)	5/1/2004 1:35:29 AM
From: SirRealist	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

And Neocon, as was evident in 2000, it's the polling in the swing states where the electoral votes are, that matter. If the latest polls in each are spot on, Bush would lead by 2 votes more than his last win, but 8 states (including 3 of the 7 largest by population) have Bush & Kerry within 2% of each other. Unlike previous elections, 85% have already made their choice and only a serious event or runaway momo could budge them. They compete for the other 15%, who are about 9% independents, 3% Dems and 3% GOP. Anyone calling a race this tight so soon is only guessing. Bush got a temporary spike from a huge ad buy. In the 59 days of daily tracking, no candidate has led in the Rasmussen Poll outside of the margin of error. Bush may have an edge on those two issues, but they trust Kerry to have the best ketchup.