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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: redfish who wrote (20073)5/3/2004 12:07:31 PM
From: American SpiritRespond to of 81568
 
Kerry Tied With Bush in Florida: a deadlock

"Bush and Kerry Remain Tied Among Likely Voters in Florida

George W. Bush and John Kerry remain tied among likely voters in Florida according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total of 46% of likely voters say they would vote for Bush if the presidential election were being held today and 45% say they would vote for Kerry. A total of 3% of likely voters say they would vote for Ralph Nader and 6% of likely voters are undecided. In a survey completed in March, Bush was at 44%, Kerry was at 45%, and Nader was at 4%

In a ballot question without Nader, 47% of likely voters say they would vote for Bush and 47% say they would vote for Kerry, with 6% of likely voters undecided.

These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in Florida. Of the 600 likely voters, 42% are Republicans, 45% are Democrats, and 13% are not affiliated with any party or affiliated with a minor party. The interviews were conducted April 18 through 21, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split."

Since Nader needs 95,000 signatures to get on the ballot there, he won't be on the ballot. This means it's a very tight race, Kerry currently with a small lead if you asume half the Nader voters will go Kerry.

If Kerry picks Richardson, Edwards, Nelson or Clark as his running mate, that ought to win him Florida. If not, he could pre-appoint Graham, Clark and Edwards to top jobs and use them in Flordia to help win. Graham, Clark and Edwards all need a job.