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Non-Tech : The Woodshed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jrhana who wrote (5988)5/5/2004 2:12:12 PM
From: morokko65  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 60925
 
Look at that $TNX spiking... Real Estate party ending?

Most of the mortgage apps I'm seeing here in Nor Cal are 90% LTV, 1 year ARMs, interest only. The starter home price has jumped from $450K to $600-625K in 15 months (East Bay Region, higher in San Mateo/SJ/SF/Marin)

Many 100% loans or 80% first mortgages & 10-20% seconds at time of purchase...

watch MBI for weakness, they insure all this garbage against default. that will be the RE canary.



To: jrhana who wrote (5988)5/5/2004 2:38:08 PM
From: Threshold  Respond to of 60925
 
"Lacking the sophistication of my brethern here" I know the feeling... time to study the waves and fibos. Fundamentals are keeping me in for now. Entropy is good for gold.

It's just failed the 40 week MA as well. Looks like a good entry point for the miners with tight mental stops. Sure looks like an IT top on the weekly. CCI spike is on the down move, MACD rolling etc. Monthly candles look like an IT top too.



To: jrhana who wrote (5988)5/5/2004 7:07:36 PM
From: nspolar  Respond to of 60925
 
Yah jr .... let us hope it actually does.

I have real mixed feelings about a lot of things. More on that later.

I have no problem being a longterm bull. It is the interim .... the next say nearly 6 months that I am unsure about. Basically this correction is nearly over, or it has a long ways to go yet, with more ups and more downs.