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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Lane3 who wrote (43061)	5/9/2004 2:25:51 PM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793866

I agree with this analysis of Dick Morris - Moderate Voice Blog HE FUN TO WATCH, SOUNDS GREAT ONLY HE'S OFTEN WRONG: David Brock's new watchdog site Media Matters for America finally says what many of us political junkes (on the right, left and center) have not wanted to say in public about Dick Morris: don't go to Vegas and bet your house on the former Clinton advisor's predictions. The Moderate Voice LOVES reading Morris' newspaper columns and watching him as an analyst on Fox News. He is a great writer (his books are lively and a thought-provoking read) who gathers lots of data, trends and then makes an often-blunt predicton. The teeny weeny problem is that his prediction track record isn't terrific -- and he'll change his interpretations after the fact. His ADVICE to politicos such as President Bush is often better than his actual predictions which make great newspaper copy, talking head segments and sound bytes... but frequently don't come to pass. Yet he's so emphatic, idea-filled, intellectually hyperactive, and entertaining -- and when he talks his mouth moves in a weird way that reminds us of the old Johnny Quest cartoons where a real person's mouth was photographically superimposed on a largely motionless cartoon body. Media Matters has a graph (check it out yourself) that in great detail contrasts parts of Morris' new book Rewriting History with what he wrote before, predicted before, and with actual facts. It documents inconsistency and also inaccuracies. We agree with one of our favorite political analysts (who has a great track record and writes equally lively but later-proven-to-be-solid stuff) the University of Virginia's Larry Sabato who the website quotes as saying about Morris:" "He's frequently wrong." But that does NOT stop us from saying this: We love Dick Morris for ideas, pizazz and because he makes us think. Just don't let his predictions get you too complacent, upset -- or inspire you to bet your hard-earned money on them coming true.