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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Harvey Allen who wrote (69343)5/10/2004 9:51:35 AM
From: Harvey Allen  Respond to of 94695
 
reflected the unwinding of the global carry trade, where investors of all stripes borrowed dollars at low rates to invest in riskier, higher-yielding assets. Among the latter were emerging debt, junk bonds, Japanese equities, gold and commodities, and these were now being sold and the dollars bought back to close positions.

Traders suspected, then, that this might not be an auspicious time for the U.S. government to be auctioning $54 billion in new debt. Some $24 billion of three-year notes go under the hammer on Tuesday, with $15 billion each of five- and 10-year notes on Wednesday and Thursday respectively.

``This is not going to be the easiest Treasury refunding sale,'' said Chris Rupkey, vice president and senior financial economist at BTM, in something of an understatement.

. . .

Given all the negatives, he saw ``a risk that 10-year yields will move closer to 5.0 percent before the auctions are sold and successfully distributed.''

nytimes.com