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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LindyBill who wrote (43594)5/11/2004 12:12:00 PM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 793841
 
I would find this hard to believe.....except....Kerry is dumping a lot of money into TV ads in California. His internal polls must show trouble for him.

More Bad News For John Kerry
By Jay on Campaign 2004
Jay Reding Blog

A SurveyUSA poll finds that John Kerry is up by only one point in California. If this poll isn't a statistical aberration (which it could be), it indicates Kerry is in real trouble. The chances of Bush winning California seem small - but even if he doesn't this allows the President to force Kerry to have to campaign in what should be a safe Democratic state - drawing resources away from other swing states.

I'm quite surprised that the Iraq prison scandals haven't forced Bush's numbers down - instead the last week of polling shows they're remarkably stable and he's still tied with Kerry in a two-way race and ahead in a three-way race. The dynamics of this election show that Bush is in a much stronger position than one would expect after months of constant media attacks.