SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TH who wrote (6136)5/11/2004 5:53:11 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
when the markets go in the tank -- they may still raise rates, but they are going to FLOOD us with liquidity

Buy gold now and beat the rush?? <g>

hint: they never did care about the level of the dollar -- they were just throwing bones to the asians



To: TH who wrote (6136)5/11/2004 5:57:24 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
I'm not sure this part makes sense ...

>>It is now very interesting to see the further monetary picture to develop. As it takes usually very long for an asset bubble to deflate (Japan !!), it is likely that the current environment for low FED Funds persists much longer as many observers can think of. Should the FED raise interest rates anyway, the situation would become actually much worse as then long term interests rise higher and depress M3 growth even more<<

if short rates are raised it should calm the bond market and bring lower long term rates, no??

but he is right on the first part there, I think -- low Fed funds rate will persist for much longer than many think. If we do get a raise -- it will be undone, shortly thereafter -- and accompanied by a liquidity POUR.