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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (6292)5/13/2004 11:44:35 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 116555
 
some people dream on



To: mishedlo who wrote (6292)5/17/2004 8:29:46 PM
From: Earlie  Respond to of 116555
 
Mish:

At this end, the formula is fairly simplistic..... big debts, rarely create problems so long as one can maintain the payments. Unfortunately, rising unemployment/underemployment, coupled with exploding new levels of debt are wreaking havoc with that ability in the US.

As one who endeavours to keep a finger on the American consumer's pulse, I have to say that I have never seen anything like this past three years for imploding employment and exploding personal debt. Unfortunately, it is difficult to imagine how a change in this ugly trend might be engineered and without such a change it is also difficult to see how a full-blown depression is avoided, particularly given the massive over-dependence of the globe on the continuing extravagance of the American consumer.

Of course most folks think the government's "safety net" would never let another depression occur.... ho, ho, ho.

Best Earlie