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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (13866)5/13/2004 5:55:51 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
From Fleck's reader:

Here are some points of reference on pricing out there. I head a division of one of the largest consultancies in the world. In my job, I touch not only our industry but a variety of others. Here are several data points from the past week:

- We have been able to raise price points ~10% due to a rapid increase in demand in Q1; we and our competitors are refusing significant work if they won't pay the rates we're asking

- Off-shore competitor rates are heading up for two reasons: general increase in the rates of service professionals in India/China, and the realization that they are less productive and quality variance is higher (need to pay for the best)

- Retail clients are having tremendous difficulty with the cost of store fixtures skyrocketing, and the dollar store types are concerned that their format may have to break the $1 barrier due to the accelerating price of goods (even those bought on distressed terms)

- Procurement program contracts are having to be rewritten or turned down completely if they commit to savings vs. last year's spend; our new policy is that we commit to savings vs. projected future spend using sophisticated (non-CPI) indices

- The automotive parts companies are looking at a major price hike in the next 60 days to cover the fact that steel is rising astronomically, even post the Chinese announcement (they had not passed through increase previously)

- The mix of the offerings our clients ask of us is rapidly changing from those that are cost-oriented to those that are about improving availability, capacity, service-levels, and pricing... all higher margin offers in our business

To top it off, one of my relatives has a small manufacturing business out West, and he has a different, but related problem: it's not the price of steel, he can't even GET delivery of sufficient quantities of steel regardless of price. The suppliers are hoarding to keep their biggest customers satisfied.

Not sure I believe the CPI...



To: russwinter who wrote (13866)5/13/2004 9:45:56 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Flows: May 12
Equity funds report net cash outflows of -$2.4 billion in the week ended May 12 with 88% coming from Domestic funds;
International Equity funds report redemptions -($278 Mil) from all developed and emerging regions;
Emerging Markets Equity funds report outflows totaling -$464 million, the largest outflow on record;
Taxable Bond funds report net cash outflows totaling -$2.5 billion, the largest outflow since 8/6/03;
High Yield Corporate Bond funds report outflows totaling -$2.15 billion, the largest outflows from the sector since 8/6/03 and the second largest on record. The number of funds reporting inflows to the sector (70) is the smallest number reporting inflows since 12/21/94;
Government Bond funds investing in Mortgage-backed securities report outflows totaling -$738 million while Government Bond funds investing in Treasuries, primarily TIPS, report inflows totaling $224 million;
Money Market funds report inflows totaling $16.7 billion;
Municipal Bond funds report net cash outflows of -$1.3 billion, the largest outflow since 11/9/94.

amgdata.com



To: russwinter who wrote (13866)5/13/2004 10:31:06 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
U.S. Financial Data

research.stlouisfed.org

Market prices 25 bp tightening in June



To: russwinter who wrote (13866)5/14/2004 10:53:36 AM
From: Knighty Tin  Respond to of 110194
 
Buy calls on Dr. Kevorkian. <G>