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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: T L Comiskey who wrote (47274)5/25/2004 8:17:38 PM
From: abuelita  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
timmy-

you are a very interesting fellow.
i'd like to meet you someday.

-rose



To: T L Comiskey who wrote (47274)5/25/2004 8:32:06 PM
From: Skywatcher  Respond to of 89467
 
Set a Date to Pull Out
The danger is not that we will cut and run
but that the Iraqis will insist that we get out.
By James Steinberg and Michael O'Hanlon
Tuesday, May 18, 2004

American policy in Iraq faces a crisis. Mainstream U.S. political leaders, including President Bush and Sen. John F. Kerry, have continued to
insist that we must "stay the course" and that "failure is not an option." But these slogans are not enough to rescue a failing policy. The
success of our mission has depended from the outset on the perception by the Iraqi people that our presence is necessary to secure their
own future. Today that premise is increasingly in doubt.

Unless we restore the Iraqi people's confidence in our role, failure is not only an option but a likelihood. Critical to achieving our goal is an
announced decision to end the current military deployment by the end of next year, following the Iraqi adoption of a constitution, together
with greatly intensified training for the Iraqi security forces. Otherwise, the issue may well be not how long we want to stay but how soon the
Iraqis kick us out.

From the beginning the administration's strategy assumed that the United States would be welcomed as "liberators" by most Iraqis. Yet the
failure of the U.S.-led provisional authority to provide basic security for many, and the slow pace of reconstruction, has eroded support for
our presence. The Abu Ghraib outrages and the recent escalation of fighting have further undermined our position. A majority of Iraqis now
believe their country is worse off than before Saddam Hussein was overthrown, according to a recent poll.

This dramatic loss of support undermines the legitimacy of our continued military presence. It also makes our task of stabilizing the country
nearly impossible.

The problem is compounded by our own ambivalence about the political transition in Iraq. Although we defined our mission as liberation, we
have been deeply reluctant to trust the Iraqi people to set their own course. From the decision to install a handpicked interim governing
council, to our initial reluctance to support early elections for the limited authority we plan to grant the transition government after June 30,
the message is that we will not permit self-determination in Iraq until Iraqis choose a government that meets our goal: a Western-style
democracy broadly supportive of U.S. interests in the region.

That objective was wildly ambitious even before the military operation began; today it is simply unattainable in the near term. The more we
talk about staying "as long as it takes" the more it appears we are trying to impose our vision on Iraq -- further alienating the Iraqi public. The
danger is not that we will cut and run but that the Iraqis will insist that we get out, leaving behind a security vacuum that could ignite civil
war and wider regional strife.

How can we avoid such a disaster? First, we must make clear that our military presence in Iraq is designed to permit the Iraqis to freely
choose their own future -- even if it is not fully to our liking. We should indicate not just that we will leave if asked but that we will ourselves
plan to end the deployment of coalition forces following the election of an Iraqi government and the adoption of a new constitution next year.
We should make clear that we (as part of a wider international coalition) would be prepared to stay beyond that time -- but only at the request
of the new Iraqi government, and as part of a new, U.N.-sponsored mandate on terms that are acceptable to the new Iraqi government and to
us.

Second, we must be clear about our legitimate security interests in Iraq. We have a right to insist that a new Iraqi government not threaten
peace and security -- by developing weapons of mass destruction, harboring terrorists or attacking other nations. And we should certainly
seek to use our influence to encourage a tolerant, pluralist society. But because this is a responsibility Iraq owes to all, not just us, we should
shift the focus away from the United States as the enforcement arm of the international community to Iraq's neighbors and others that share
these interests, including NATO and the United Nations. We should begin by convening a major international summit on Iraq, involving not
only Western allies but also Arab leaders and Iraqis, at the time of the NATO summit next month in Istanbul. And we should invite the
International Atomic Energy Agency to play a role in ensuring that a new Iraqi government does not pursue weapons programs.

Third, we should accelerate the training and equipping of new security forces for Iraq. Less than 10 percent of the necessary numbers of
soldiers and police have been properly trained to date. Filling this vacuum is critical to the success of this strategy, because indigenous
forces are far more likely than foreign forces to succeed in defeating the residual Baathist and foreign fighters in Iraq. If Arab countries and
NATO devoted just 10 percent of their police and military training capacity to Iraqi forces, we could complete an intensified training process
by next year.

Some will see this as cut-and-run. It is not. Unlike the case with most previous stabilization missions, our own enduring commitment to
success in Iraq is beginning to work against us. It breeds cynicism among Iraqis that we are like the colonialists of old, planning to stay
indefinitely to keep our hands on their oil and to use Iraq for our own, broader foreign policy objectives. The lesson of our history is that our
best partners are those who freely choose to be. We must give the Iraqis the opportunity to seize that possibility for themselves.

James Steinberg was deputy national security adviser in the Clinton administration and is vice president and director of foreign policy
studies at the Brookings Institution; Michael O'Hanlon is a senior fellow there.



To: T L Comiskey who wrote (47274)5/25/2004 8:54:48 PM
From: TigerPaw  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
That looks like the setting for Gondor in Lord of the Rings.

TP



To: T L Comiskey who wrote (47274)5/25/2004 9:10:38 PM
From: Satish C. Shah  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
If you liked that one, look at Let's Go travel guide for India and Nepal. Visit the web site for pictures of "Valley of Flowers"

people.fas.harvard.edu

Necessary disclosure: I have a biased opinion. If you visit the web site, it will become obvious.



To: T L Comiskey who wrote (47274)5/26/2004 12:07:15 AM
From: Mannie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
Thanks Tim,

That looks like a great destination. It's on the list, now...

What year were you there?
Scott