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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: russwinter who wrote (14497)	5/26/2004 9:31:17 AM
From: BSGrinder	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

Re the historical review of German hyper-inflation, I was amazed to note that it was written in 1970, with the author concerned about the mammoth $25 billion deficits! He was right - I remember the double-digit inflation of the 70's very well, along with the concomitant "death of equities." /Kit

To: russwinter who wrote (14497)	5/26/2004 10:34:02 AM
From: Wyätt Gwyön	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

Future of Natural Gas Supply peakoil.net

To: russwinter who wrote (14497)	5/26/2004 10:38:01 AM
From: Wyätt Gwyön	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

A volatile epoch of recurring price shocks and consequential recessions dampening demand and price is now regarded as more likely, with terminal decline setting in and becoming self-evident by about 2010. The flat-earth detractors will relish pointing out that the estimates change, but others may take it as progress. peakoil.net

To: russwinter who wrote (14497)	5/26/2004 10:40:20 AM
From: newfoundland1	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

I am very much onside with the thrust of this site but your useful reposting of this article on German Hyperinflation in the 1920's was first printed in 1994 - 10 years ago. I know the old saw about knowing something is going to happen but not when, but should we be delving further into why the timing has been so wrong - what has happened in the last ten years to make these concerns look so premature timewise that in retrospective you would have to have judged them misplaced. The answer presumably lies in the rise of China and the behaviour of the rest of the world towards the dollar which is not unrelated to US's standing in the world. We do seem to be on the edge of a precipice now but is there another set of factors which we have not given due credence to so that we are still waiting for a crisis in 2014 ?

To: russwinter who wrote (14497)	5/27/2004 8:39:55 PM
From: glenn_a	Respond to of 110194

Russ, thanks for the Germany hyper-inflation article. Very interesting. I had never really heard that story told before. I did read Christopher Isherwood's "Goodbye Berlin" (the play/movie "Cabaret" was based on this book), which described the disfunctional aftermath of German society around I think it was 1933 or so. But never the core inflationary period. Actually, the German situation in the period "after" 1923 until 1930 was also very interesting. I think I'll try to comment on this in a post to follow. Thanks again for the article. Glenn