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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: energyplay who wrote (50520)	5/26/2004 5:07:36 AM
From: macavity	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

I know what you mean about market size. Still, being human (almost) I am biased. Small size cuts both ways which is why I use measures that are volatility neutral - stochastics and standard deviations to compare things. Hence my statement of Gold underperforming. The Cyclical Trend (for gold stocks) is Now neutral to Bearish - ($HUI = 200 is approx the 55wk and 55d emas) - it is definitely not Bullish (though the Secular Trend still is). We need a new rising bar on Quarterly charts to turn the Cyclical . Short USD: this is in a nasty spot. Similar to Gold the Cyclical Trend is Neutral but the Momentum is Bullish. This means I should considering buying when o/sold and selling when o/bt until the Trend re-asserts or reverses. It has been IT o/bt and is now coming off (Hence short). Should it get IT o/sld before 1.30 and/or reverse I will buy The Buck with both hands. I have no idea if this will take place in early June. I try not to predict, but I do pay attention to longer period timeframes. -macavity