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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dayuhan who wrote (47246)	5/26/2004 11:10:18 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793939

>>I said the argument had wide currency in the anti-war camp. Possibly on the silly fringe IMO, it was a large fringe. If I had a nickel for every time I heard it repeated I would be considerably richer now. AQ has placed its bets on chaos. That’s actually a fairly astute bet, and it’s one they are likely to win. We'll see. Tactical adjustment goes on on both sides of a cnflict. The way to beat attempted chaos is to keep on working despite it, and most of Iraq is doing just that. After a while, people become inured to reports of bombs, just so long as they are not in the blast area. Whether the balance of terror (a revised an updated use for the term) will favor the Iraqis or AQ remains very much to be seen. Besides, to suit AQ's purposes, an Arab leader had to be removed by Americans, and that is not going to happen to the house of Saud. Have you seen any of OBL's pronouncement on the House of Saud? Having that set of Arab rulers replaced by AQ would suit them fine, just fine. The impure punished, the pure triumphant. You know the script.

To: Dayuhan who wrote (47246)	5/27/2004 10:04:33 AM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793939

AQ has placed its bets on chaos. That’s actually a fairly astute bet, and it’s one they are likely to win. Seems to me that AQ and the Iranians stupidly and prematurely placed their bets in April on a ragged band of Sadrists, Baathists, and Ansarists. It was a dumb bet that is in the process of being defeated by a combination of cunning US maneuvers, which included a strategic retreat at Fallujah and ongoing, terribly effective but slow piecemeal destruction of the insurgents in which anti-Sadr Shiites are assisting the US. You now doubt failed to see the report that Sadr waved a white flag recently. The media did not exactly, ah, focus on it. It appears that the US responded by capturing his lieutenant. We are kicking ass in Iraq--no one wants to make the point in this election cycle. Sure, AG was a disaster. So what. In the big picture of things, it is not very relevant.