SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Bush-The Mastermind behind 9/11? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GUSTAVE JAEGER who wrote (6697)5/28/2004 10:18:14 AM
From: Skywatcher  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20039
 
Dr Bush....the world nightmare continues
After a Period of Brightness, Earth Dims, Researchers Say

May 28, 2004
By KENNETH CHANG



Tracking the brightness of Earth by looking at its
reflection on the Moon, scientists have concluded that
sunshine on Earth brightened in the 1990's, then dimmed
after 2000.

The findings, being reported today in the journal Science,
add a new level of mystery to the recent debate about
"global dimming" and its causes. Measurements by
ground-based instruments around the world have shown a
decrease of up to 10 percent in sunlight from the late
1950's to the early 1990's.

"This would say that it reversed through the 80's and 90's
to a global brightening and now it's flattening," said Dr.
Philip R. Goode, a professor of physics at the New Jersey
Institute of Technology and an author of the Science
article. "And the suggestion is that the trend is turning
back to the other direction."

The output of the Sun varies only slightly, so scientists
theorize that global dimming probably results from air
pollution. Some light bounces off soot particles in the
air. The pollution also causes more water droplets to
condense out of air, leading to thicker, darker clouds,
which block light. For that reason, the dimming appears to
be more pronounced on cloudy days. Some less polluted
regions have experienced little or no dimming.

The notion remains controversial because it runs counter to
expectations of global warming (less sunlight should mean
lower temperatures), and some scientists wonder how
widespread the dimming effects are. The ground-based
measurements do not cover the oceans.

Unlike the earlier data, the research did not look at
sunshine on Earth. Instead, Dr. Goode and colleagues at the
Big Bear Solar Observatory in California and the California
Institute of Technology used a principle described by
Leonardo da Vinci. The bright side of the Moon is lighted
by sunshine. The dark side is not completely dark. Rather,
as Leonardo deduced, it is dimly illuminated by light
reflected off Earth.

Using a small telescope at Big Bear, the astronomers have
for the past five years measured the relative brightness of
the two sides of the Moon, which tells how much light is
bouncing off Earth back into space, what the scientists
call "earthshine." The reflectivity is largely a measure of
clouds, which are much shinier than the ocean or ground.
Thus, a brightening of earthshine means a dimming on
Earth's surface, because less light is reaching the ground.

On average, Earth reflects about 30 percent of the incoming
sunlight, but that varies day to day and hour to hour. When
the Sun rises over a cloudy Asia, earthshine might brighten
by 10 percent. Reflectivity also varies by season, higher
in April than in October, because the Northern Hemisphere
tends to be cloudier than the Southern Hemisphere.

Over all, reflectivity increased - and sunshine dimmed at
the surface - from 1999 to 2003, with an especially sharp
jump last year. But the reflectivity was lower than what
the scientists measured during an earlier round of
observations in 1994 and 1995. They then took NASA data on
cloud cover from1985 to 2000 to calculate the reflectivity.
The calculations indicate that Earth reflected 32 percent
of sunlight in 1985 and that the reflectivity declined 7
percent over the next 15 years, which would correspond to a
brightening of sunshine on Earth.

"It gives at least a good argument that the clouds are not
getting thicker globally," said Dr. Beate G. Liepert, a
research scientist at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
of Columbia University.

The researchers said they could not say what was driving
the changes in reflectivity. "What we say is somehow the
cloud properties have changed," Dr. Goode said. The
brightening coincided with accelerated rising of global
temperatures in the late 1990's.

Other scientists have also reported signs that global
dimming halted in the 1990's. At a joint meeting of
American and Canadian geological societies in Montreal this
month, Dr. Martin Wild, a climatologist at the Swiss
Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich, reported that
sunshine measurements from 10 stations worldwide showed no
signs of dimming during the 90's. "This is a preliminary
result, but I think it gives a clear picture," Dr. Wild
said.

Dr. Rachel T. Pinker, a professor of meteorology at the
University of Maryland, said satellite measurements from
July 1983 to September 2001 also showed no signs of
dimming.

"On a global scale, we didn't find a decrease," Dr. Pinker
said. "In fact, we found a small increase."

Since 2000, reflectivity has since risen to near the 1985
level. But Dr. Goode said more observations were needed to
tell whether the upward jump last year in reflectivity was
"was a hiccup or it's really a trend."

nytimes.com
CC



To: GUSTAVE JAEGER who wrote (6697)5/28/2004 11:25:31 AM
From: sea_urchin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20039
 
Gustave > Did you know that it's actually the US gasoline shortage that's driving up the price of crude oil --and not the other way around

No, I didn't.

To coin a medical analogy, what is happening in the US is similar to a rapidly-growing malignant tumour which is outgrowing its blood-supply and has become necrotic (dead) in various parts because its growth is in excess of the means to sustain it. This is evident by the burgeoning debt, price inflation, devaluation of the currency, loss of jobs, attempts to steal other people's assets, corrupt business practices and dishonest politicians etc.

The outlook is not good because, if the analogy is true, besides destroying its host, directly and through its spread (metastases), the growing tumour also destroys parts of itself.