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To: mishedlo who wrote (288420)	6/2/2004 11:48:39 AM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

<<How much do the early rounds influence play?>> A lot, because if you get knocked out early, you don't play in the later rounds. Also, if you accumulate a large stack early you have a big advantage later on. It's not everything, but it is important. <<Is betting different out of fear of the quick exit?>> That's certainly a big consideration, also, the pots are smaller so the "risk:reward ratio" of big bluffs early in tournaments is unfavorable compared to later on. Put another way, the chips you lose are relatively more valuable than the same amount of chips won especially early on. <<With so many amateurs in the early rounds are you at great risk of several players staying in on a hand where they should exit and thus one one them gets a lucky draw sending you to the exits?>> In tournaments with very big fields, like the recent WSOP, this is a big concern. Generally, good players are loath to put their tournament on the line early unless they have a (perceived) huge advantage. Obviously you have to take shots here and there to accumulate chips. But inexperienced players tend to overvalue their hands and overbet pots. So yes, the risk of calling an exaggerated bet or bluff early is somewhat higher in the last couple of years than it used to be, but good players have adjusted. Guys like Dan Harrington have figured it out (he's been at the final table 2 years in a row, and won the WSOP in the pre-internet era in 1994). Other guys have had more problems, Phil Ivey for example went out on the first day with a bluff on Ace-King unimproved that a newbie called him on. A "better" player probably wouldn't make the call and risk his tournament that early but that's the new era. <<If you win $5M next year do you retire?>> Does a bear $hit in his pants when the spoos get ramped?<G>