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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (14903)6/3/2004 7:55:11 PM
From: orkrious  Respond to of 110194
 
Richebacher's latest is out. In economic terms it perfectly describes what's happening in today's market's. It doesn't talk about commodities, but instead talks about capital flows and the unwinding of the carry trade.

I strongly recommend everyone get ahold of a copy.

richebacher.com



To: russwinter who wrote (14903)6/4/2004 10:49:32 AM
From: yard_man  Respond to of 110194
 
you get hot days in May, June sometimes -- doesn't mean that July and August are going to be x degrees hotter -- something I've been trying to explain to mngmnt here --

In a way it is much worse having the heat in May or early June -- like I said, some gen will still be on maintenance -- high loads can be killer in late May or early June -- doesn't mean the rest of the summer is going to be heck



To: russwinter who wrote (14903)6/4/2004 1:30:23 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
a lot of people here saying what you are saying Russ -- "It's only June 3" -- and I can't fight the power.

I wish I knew what shape utilities around us were in ... I just don't think we are going to have any blowout summer and I don't want to plan for a blowout -- if you plan for a blowout and you don't get one, it's a loser and statistically speaking, it is a bad bet --

we'll see who wins ... and who is right.