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Strategies & Market Trends : Raptor's Den II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: CharlieChina who wrote (1796)6/4/2004 4:25:34 PM
From: Michael Watkins  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3432
 
If your strategy is "buy and hold", then what value is your rambling?

Whether the DOW clears a particular price level today or next week or next month has nothing to do with where the DOW will be in 2009.

There are zero, I repeat, zero predictors of price performance that are useful in the long term. Pick a long enough time span and one can at least predict that the major indexes will be higher than they are today.

That itself is useless to most people, unless they invest only in indexes - which are of course constantly rejigged in their composition, hiding the losing companies that fade away to black.

So no, your "information" is not information, it is opinion and an reasonably long time frame, one far enough away that few people will remember your target or you or I.

Mind you I still get a chuckle out of Ralph Acampora's mega market predictions at the very top of the bubble.

I can predict with certainty that the sun will rise in 2009; that's as far as I am willing to go. My job it to make money in today's market, not 2009's market.



To: CharlieChina who wrote (1796)6/4/2004 5:11:02 PM
From: Amots  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3432
 
What if,... you purchased a Basket-of-Red-Apples,... for $1,... knowing that in the long-term, as you put it,... 7-months,... they will be worth $10 a basket,... and in 5-years time $100 a basket,...

In 7 month all the apples will be rotten and in 5 years I don't even want to think how they look like.
Your example match your forecast ability.....