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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steve168 who wrote (19254)6/7/2004 6:26:15 PM
From: MCsweet  Respond to of 78485
 
Steve168,

It was a tough day for short positions.

I regret not being fully invested in value stocks the past several days, but the risk/reward of the current scenario doesn't seem to me to justify being fully invested (i.e., stuff not as cheap as it used to be and a bad event could really drop the market). On the other hand, the market generally goes up over time so I am fairly well invested.

The RSC buyback along with the negative Motley Fool article (they are a contrarian indicator for me at times) made me fairly bullish on RSC. However, the overhang of stock options has lessened my appetite, so I only bought a little. I still like BAMM and MEOH.

We will see how it goes.

MC



To: Steve168 who wrote (19254)12/14/2004 10:45:07 PM
From: Bob Rudd  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78485
 
RIMM Short: Initiated a Ready Fire Aim short 0f RIMM @87.96 based on what looks like a big up bounce in litigation risk for a stock whose price reflects a whole lotta love. Morningstar, which uses a Buffettesque approach shows a fair value $45 per share despite acknowledging substantial competitive advantages and growth potential. If it weren't for the patent/litigation risk, I wouldn't dare short this. But if concerns like those expressed in these WSJ excerpts:
"An appeals court dealt a heavy blow to BlackBerry maker Research In Motion Ltd., as the court substantially upheld a previous patent-infringement ruling that could block BlackBerry sales in the U.S. or force the company into a costly settlement." and...
"The appeals-court ruling is "an enormous victory for NTP," and now there is "a gun hanging over RIM's head," said James Hurst, a patent lawyer and partner with Winston & Strawn in Chicago."
come to be discounted, they could drive the price below the uptrend line that's held for the last 2 years confirming todays high volume key reversal..this could send the technical momo's scurrying and produce quite a drop [Please forgive the technobabble, but with momentum stocks, it's a factor].
One justification for value investing is it gives you an idea pretty quickly just how far away the safety net is...With RIMM, despite a great business it looks pretty far down from here...but I have more studying to do on it.