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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Thomas M. who wrote (189841)6/6/2004 5:50:31 PM
From: tejek  Respond to of 1576605
 
I don't really understand the mechanics of the parliamentary system. It looks like if he commits to a firm pullout date his party will stop backing him and he loses his PM position.

Its not so much he's in danger of losing the support of the Likud as he's in danger of losing his coalition that keeps him in power. The Likud does not control enough seats in the Knesset so they had to align with other parties to pull off the coalition needed to rule. The dissension within the Likud is led by Sharon's one time opponent, Netanyahu. Netanyahu does not have enough followers to challenge Sharon outright. So Sharon still has control of the Likud.

However, he had to fire two cabinet members from a far right party who's constituency is the settlers. If he can not find a replacement for that party within the coalition, he will be in trouble. Ironically, the most likely candidate is the Likud's arch rival, the Labour Party. Since this arrangement would be anathema to most of the Likud, its very likely that Sharon will call for elections to support his position. I think the cabinet vote this weekend was an attempt to forestall such a development but it appears from the way the media is presenting the results its not likely his voting scheme worked.

ted