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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sam Citron who wrote (10295)6/9/2004 11:48:25 AM
From: Bookdon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25522
 
It really isn't so far off thread.
AMAT is a good example of getting part of a bigger pie. When AMAT started selling semi-equipment, most of its customers were US-based fabs. Over time, that has changed dramatically. Now most of its customers are in Asia, but it still gains jobs and profits in the US to support that business. There will come a time (it is beginning to happen now) when AMAT will move manufacturing and service (clearly, a lot of service activities are already moved) overseas. That will better serve the needs of the stockholders (isn't that what this thread is all about) and its customers. What will still be in the US? I don't know, but whatever it is that we do best (therefor also the cheapest). Research? Money management? Marketing?



To: Sam Citron who wrote (10295)6/9/2004 11:48:30 AM
From: Big Bucks  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25522
 
Sam, international trade is very complex with lots of
issues to consider. I don't think absolute isolationism
is a valid way to protect the interests of the US.... I
do, however, believe that limiting or balancing the trade
inequities is a viable solution. The US cannot compete
with manufacturing countries that produce goods with a
cost basis of 60% cheaper than we can produce them. We
can, however, limit the amount of imports or apply tariffs
to make the imported products as expensive as our manufacturing costs and then consumers will decide whether
US or foreign products represent the better purchase value.

US companies have moved their manufacturing to cheap labor
and cheap commodity supply countries at the expense of
US manufacturing prowess and US jobs. This strategic
repositioning of the manufacturing base, funded with US
dollars, has also removed part of the corporate tax base
which is lost as a US tax revenue stream. Dollars,jobs,
and corporate/worker tax revenues are going out of the country for cheaper products and there is currently no
way to stop the outflow except to create a disincentive,
which requires tariffs or import limits. Of course
the WTO would place sanctions on US products in
retaliation, thereby hurting our exports..... I guess I
view it like the WTO and the US have each other by the
balls and each time one or the other lifts their hand a
bit the other one gets up on its' toes and lifts its'
hand....the effect being that, viewed from a distance
we see two individuals holding each other by the crotch
and both dancing on tip toes, each not wanting to apply
to much pressure but neither one willing to let go.
I guess we could call it "Scrotum Economics"
or a "Testicular Standoff".



To: Sam Citron who wrote (10295)6/9/2004 12:46:11 PM
From: Cary Salsberg  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 25522
 
RE: "Could you cite some empirical evidence of a country where such policies have helped?"

I think I should be able to, but, usually, it is limited to specific industries and to countries that are not as integral to the world economy as the US.

RE: "...how do you prevent isolationism and protectionism from hurting our economy, and everyone in it..."

If you admit that globalization is hurting our economy, and not everyone, but a significant and growing percentage of people in it, then the problem is not "prevention" but choosing the lesser of two evils.

The free enterprise nature of our economy results in a fragmented response to globalization with benefit to some and detriment to others and no system to measure the balance and forecast the future effects.

I don't think specific measures that protect and isolate are as important as a wholistic view of the problematic impact of globalization and a plan to deal with current and worsening future effects on a national level with a unified approach. I will simplify. Does globalization increase the US economic pie? If the answer is yes, then the problem is redistribution of the pie because it is obvious that benefits are not close to being uniform. Distribution must help those hurt by globalization while shrinking the US pie as little as possible. If the answer is no, then alternatives that treat the whole economy better and distibute benefits more equitably must be considered without considering the well being of the rest of the world.