SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Dutch Central Bank Sale Announcement Imminent? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sea_urchin who wrote (21148)6/11/2004 12:17:02 PM
From: sea_urchin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 82192
 
> The figure is more-or-less the lower parameter on a long-term, multiple regression analysis which I do

This is a graph from one of many analyses. The dates are from 6th (5 week) period 1988 to 4th (5 week) period 2004, but the data go back to 1978. The probabilities of the two main lines across the graph are 0.899 which means that there is a 89.9% probability that the price will return to the mean (center) of the distribution. However, as you see, what happens is that when it leaves the one parameter it frequently moves to the other, although one can't be sure when that will happen. Although the y-axis has no value in this chart, I know what the actual distribution is, in USD, from other charts. This chart is just to show the probability relationships of the distribution.

img66.photobucket.com



To: sea_urchin who wrote (21148)6/12/2004 10:34:13 PM
From: sea_urchin  Respond to of 82192
 
The gold price is still above its trend "support line"

So the "bull market" is still intact. I thought I had better mention that, just in case some were feeling very despondent.

img66.photobucket.com