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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (51153)6/20/2004 11:22:19 PM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 74559
 
Thanks for the article Jay. I am in GBP and JPY now and the move was good. The interest raise is to suck money out of developing countries old trick that happens every decade and triggers a debt crisis. It is not intended to prop up the dollar.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (51153)6/21/2004 6:56:44 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Respond to of 74559
 
Here's the two diagrams:

zealllc.com

zealllc.com



To: TobagoJack who wrote (51153)6/21/2004 10:53:37 AM
From: Ramsey Su  Respond to of 74559
 
Jay,

that is a very good article.

along that line, I believe a theme in the future is going to be the intent and the results of greenbubbles strategies.

Basic econ tells you that when real interest rates are below zero, it should encourage borrowing by businesses, investment in cap ex, expansions and other good things for the economy.

In reality, borrowing did occur but only to improve "earnings" by reducing yesteryears excesses.

In reality, expansion and cap ex did occur, to foreign land in FDIs, creating job opportunities to the more deserving Indians, Chineses and anyone willing to work and work and work.

We are being told that the economy is well on its well to recovery. We are given a bunch of data that may or may not be fabricated. So the question should be: are the Feds going to base their moves on what they know or what they are selling? I hope they are one in the same.

Ramsey