To: Dennis O'Bell who wrote (137943 ) 6/25/2004 10:45:02 AM From: exdaytrader76 Respond to of 281500 iiasa.ac.at Between now and 2050 world population growth will be generated exclusively in developing countries.globalpolicy.org Three years ago, wealthy nations endorsed an ambitious "Millennium Challenge" agenda that called for reducing by half the percentage of people living in extreme poverty by 2015. Other goals included reductions in child mortality and AIDS and expanded access to education and safe drinking water. Although many regions of the world have made progress in reducing poverty, the World Bank said, conditions are worsening in others, particularly sub-Saharan Africa. If current trends continue, the number of people surviving on less than $1 a day is expected to climb in the next 12 years from 315 million in Africa in 1999 to 404 million, and from 6 million in the Middle East to 8 million over the same period. Progress toward increasing school enrollment and reducing illiteracy has been mixed, the analysis said, with about half the world's regions appearing unlikely to achieve their millennium goals. The outlook for improving health is even worse, it said. Although many problems contribute to the poor performance, such as the HIV/AIDS pandemic in Africa, one factor has been the failure of wealthy countries to come up with the estimated $50 billion a year in additional aid needed to help poor countries, said economist Stern. "Aid has never been more productive than it is now," Stern told reporters. "At the same time, aid as a fraction of [gross domestic product] of rich countries has never been lower than it is now in the last half-century or so. That is a paradox that is troubling."