Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (51260)	6/27/2004 12:17:14 PM
From: smolejv@gmx.net	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

Hi Jay, my reposte to your very much read and discussed invitation to CB to come back from behind the curtains, was between asinine and superficial (add 'utterly' wherever appropriate). Here's now my laterally seen and thought-at (and a little more serious) take on your subject. Your tectonic plates follow the geography of our mother earth. My concern about my () next 50 years sees a different set of fault lines. I will limit myself to demographic trends. Here's all of it in a nutshell: International comparison of indicators of an aging population state % of grownups Number of grownups (in millions) older than 65 > 65 > 80 1990 2030 2050 1990 2050 1990 2050 China 5.6 15.7 22.6 63.0 334.0 7.839 99.602 India 4.3 9.7 15.1 37.0 230.9 4.017 46.999 Korea 5.0 18.1 24.7 2.1 12.6 0.276 3.763 Mexico 4.0 19.9 18.6 3.3 27.3 0.644 5.979 Canada 11.2 22.6 23.8 3.1 10.1 0.643 3.759 France 14.0 23.2 25.5 7.9 15.3 2.136 5.696 Germany15.0 26.1 28.4 11.9 20.8 2.985 8.299 Italy 15.3 29.1 34.9 8.7 14.4 1.963 5.787 Japan 12.0 27.3 31.8 14.8 33.4 2.922 12.09 UK 15.7 23.1 24.9 8.1 14.1 2.092 5.287 USA 12.4 20.6 21.7 31.5 75.8 7.213 26.914 source: UN' Population Division (1999) The baby boomers, har har, we'll be baby busters some time 2030! It just looks like I will live to be 95 and I will have a nice big fat company - predominantly female, but .. er ... I think it will be too late for those things by then. And if I look at those centagenerians from Japan (urgh), man, wait for males. So far they were gone before one could take any inappropriate pictures @ centagenerian birthday parties, but things have been definitely changing lately... And I will have to face the fact that a different (ie young) class of people is running my life. I just hope my curiosity and hunger for knowledge etc etc do not go under, into the greyness of senility and physical survival...Anyhow, no reason for me to go and look for my final cup of hemlock. Realizing you may* still have MILES of your life in front of you, is quite a pleasant experience... Maybe, maybe I will get a chance to write my book - there'll be one Napoleon's admiral in it, his beautiful dark-skinned bride, and ... no, don't let out too much, keep the suspense, DJ -... Still, to provoke some more: Q: where do you think will these young policemen, fireworkers, busdrivers, hospital staff come from? Suppl. Q: what will be their attitude, when it comes to that horde of used-to-be baby boomers on Alzheimer diet and on Parkinson antidotes? dj (*) I dont worry much about your next 50 years, to be honest. I don't want to - and to be honest again can't - harm anybody but myself;)