To: Mannie who wrote (50060 ) 6/30/2004 11:18:38 AM From: Jim Willie CB Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 89467 Ahmed Hashim, a counter- insurgency professor at the Naval War College in the US, makes an equally alarming prediction. "The Iraqi interim government . . . simply has no way of dealing effectively with the ongoing crisis within the country," he recently wrote. "This puts the burden on US and other coalition forces. It is likely that as Iraq staggers uncertainly towards a qualified sovereignty, the security situation will deteriorate; indeed it could worsen dramatically." This government is going to be dependent for three to five years on coalition forces so how can it demobilise what is increasingly a popular insurgency," says Toby Dodge of the UK-based International Institute for Strategic Studies. Mr Dodge adds that with insufficient numbers of American troops and an unprepared indigenous force, the security vacuum could grow, leaving militias tied to political movements to assert themselves. "We'll see a fracturing of the country because the US won't deploy in great numbers and the government cannot get enough local forces," says Mr Dodge. from Financial Times ME: why have expert morons NOT mentioned that the...KURDS ARE NOT REPRESENTED ON THE RULING COUNCIL !?!?! they were critical in fighting in the north they were critical in grabbing oil fields in Kirkuk they were betrayed all thru the 1990 decade 300 thousand of them were slaughtered by Saddam they were betrayed again here UNLESS they are about to gain sovereignty, a surprise I DOUBT IT as long as oil production is brisk, and US is first in line and military bases are secure USA leaders will be happy those were 2 of the 3 central motives for taking Iraq anyway