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Politics : Discuss the candidates honestly. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Alan Smithee who wrote (1194)7/1/2004 12:55:05 PM
From: mph  Respond to of 4965
 
Just tell her that MM mentioned her in particular in
portions of his European comments that weren't widely
distributed.......<g>

e.g., the mother of well known sleazy movie
director, Alan Smithee,...............



To: Alan Smithee who wrote (1194)7/1/2004 12:56:42 PM
From: Bob  Respond to of 4965
 
Polls may show the presidential race in a dead heat, but for a small band of academics who use scientific formulas to predict elections President Bush (news - web sites) is on his way to a sizable win.

story.news.yahoo.com

Their track record for calling election outcomes months in advance has often been surprisingly accurate. In 1988, the models projected Bush's father, former President George Bush, would win even though Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis enjoyed a double digit poll leads that summer.

And in 1996, one model came within a tenth of a percentage point of Clinton's actual vote share.

"You can look at certain fundamental indicators and anticipate how the campaign will play out," said James Campbell, a professor at the State University of New York at Buffalo.

But one glaring error is what the forecasters are perhaps best remembered for: they predicted in 2000 that Democrat Al Gore (news - web sites) would win easily, pegging his total at between 53 and 60 percent of the two-party vote.


It would seem to me that those on the left would claim that this model has NEVER been wrong........