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Politics : Discuss the candidates honestly. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (1443)	7/5/2004 8:44:56 PM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 4965

Kerry leads in almost all battleground states with a few tied. realclearpolitics.com In the future, post your links on polls. You have lied too many times and nobody trusts you. The polls I justed posted are the most recent and accurate.

To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (1443)	7/5/2004 9:19:16 PM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 4965

Kerry has a battleground lead over Bush. Corrigan, as usual you seek to deceive us on these threads. Your polls are inaccurate, out-dated and are contradicted by Zogby who is usually the most accurate. Also, six more aspects your polls dont take into account: 1) Nader isn't on a single ballot yet and may never be. So add about 2% to each Kerry number right there. 2) JK has yet to pick his running mate and will get a battleground bounce after that. Add another 2%. 3) Those polls of yours were done right after the Reagan funeral when Bush enjoyed a short-term 3-4% bump which has now disappeared again. Add 3%. 4) Jeb Bush just got caught by the Miami Herald and CNN in his voter roll scrubbing fraud which he had denied he was doing. Since this hurts mostly minorities, the turnout will be even higher now amongst democrats. Subtract from Bush in Florida. 5) Likely voting estimates are used from 2000 but this year many more Dems will get out to vote, while fewer Republicans will. 6) According to Zogby most undecideds will swing to the challenger because historically first they dump the incumbant (and you can tell by Bush's 42% approvals they have) then gradually study and accept the challenger (and Kerry is very acceptable). You will probably see within about ten days, new polls which show Kerry with a 4-8% lead over Bush, and that may just be the beginning of the bad news for Bush. Kerry could very well make this a landslide victory over the rightwing. Most people are definitely ready for new more honest leadership.