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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (8843)7/7/2004 10:46:47 PM
From: RealMuLan  Respond to of 116555
 
>>Who's going to win this time? And will it take more than an economic war to find out? <<

I am not sure why the author had picked the Opium Wars as the example since there were some more recent ones and they were bet. the US and China, not bet. the Britain and China. Maybe because Britain won the Opium War while the US had not won in neither Korea nor Vietnam?

China-(North) Korea-the USA, China-Vietnam-the USA, China-Taiwan-the USA, in the first two cases, they are two different sovereign nations which China has NO jurisdiction whatsoever, but still made such a commitment. while in Taiwan's case, China and >95% of Chinese all over the world consider it a piece of China, so everyone can make their own conclusion. I can only hope the US has learned something from Korean War in 50s and the Vietnam War in 60s. The present China is NOT the China in 1950s or 60s, and the present US is NOT the US in 50s and 60s either. Who is the paper tiger anyway???<g> Just a tiny Iraq already stretched the US force like this? Launch a war with China?

Another thing I think this article has missed is that whether China will take any action all depends on how Chen ShuiBian acts. It is very possible Chen will make some majory but stupid move in his 2nd term (about the same 4 years as Bush 2nd term<g> if he can get it). And if the US cannot stop him, then...