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To: jjstingray who wrote (101177)7/12/2004 5:10:10 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
I don't find the semis in as bad as shape as you do, but they don't look bullish either. Its just a mess to me.

I have 3 scenarios for the NDX assuming there is follow through on the reversal today:

1) We are doing a wiggle 'ii' of C up, likely no higher than 1480 before the next shoe drops

2) We are doing an 'e' up of a large wedge off the March lows, this should give us a run to 1530 or so before the "real" C down begins.

3) We are pointing up in a '3' off the March lows.

As I've said many times recently, the financials have a very bullish set-up near-term and today I added some AXP August 50 calls. They're all I care about right now.