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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (9270)7/15/2004 10:31:51 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 116555
 
Detroit makes money on mortgages and car loans
they lose it on health care, in particular with retirees

in the backwater they spend on steel and engines and plastics and wheel assemblies and tires

nowhere is evidence of over-productive more evident in our economy
thus, zero deals WITH cashbacks
and a destroyed used car market

this sector will be nationalized by 2006
or disappear

/ jim



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (9270)7/15/2004 10:44:14 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
I am astonished that economists dont see the slowdown
they seem confused that consumer spending is down
that inventorys are up
that Chicago PMI is down
that ISM is down
that retail sales are down in many places
that car sales are down
that consumer cell phone sales are slipping
that mfg cap utilzn is down

the trade gap news on May gave the final confirmation to me
imports are flattening out, while exports are rising

some details nationally on imports to USA
OPEC rose to $5.6B from $5.3B in April
China grew to $12.1B from $12.0B

Japan fell to $6.4B from $5.5B
EuroUnion fell to $7.9B from $9.6B
Canada fell to $4.8B from $5.6B

we are importing less overall
the Canadian number tells me we are importing less raw materials

all evidence of slowing down
the big factors were higher longterm rates, higher energy costs
do economists look at these numbers?
do they look past their corporate agendas?

can they see VIX is low chronically?
what do these people look at ?!?!?!?
/ jim