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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill Harmond who wrote (21357)7/16/2004 2:38:26 PM
From: Lizzie Tudor  Respond to of 57684
 
feels like a bear to me

of course we had a bear market in technology in the mid 80s too while the rest of the market was in bull mode. We didn't use the term "secular" then, but my guess is that if you asked people in the mid 80s about an ongoing bear market in tech they would have said thats what they were experiencing and there was no chance for a change in trend. A year or so later the trend changed.

You can make money shorting capex stocks here. Maybe more than you can make longing gold. October should be interesting.



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (21357)7/16/2004 3:29:07 PM
From: Logain Ablar  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57684
 
Bill:

Its still too early in this secular bear for people to swear off stocks. We still have 10 more years.

As for the cycical bull I figured we had till the end of the year but this year has not played out the way I thought. We either rally soon or the market starts to discount the next recession and were back on our way down.

Here are some nice charts.

stockcharts.com[s33052970]&disp=O



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (21357)7/16/2004 3:45:02 PM
From: fedhead  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57684
 
Thats an awesome chart and today it looks like the Nasdaq 100 is going to break below the 50 week average.

Anindo



To: Bill Harmond who wrote (21357)7/18/2004 12:54:00 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 57684
 
Professionals are raising their cash stakes, should you?

business-times.asia1.com.sg