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Politics : Discuss the candidates honestly. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Andrew N. Cothran who wrote (2377)7/26/2004 2:56:48 PM
From: Andrew N. Cothran  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4965
 
July 25, 2004: Three New Ohio Polls

In the past several days, three polls have been released in the critical battleground state of Ohio. Two show President Bush ahead, and one shows John Kerry ahead. This is very good news for the Bush campaign.

Columbus Dispatch: Bush 47%, Kerry 43%, Nader 2%
Strategic Vision: Bush 48%, Kerry 43%, Nader 1%
American Research Group: Bush 45%, Kerry 47%, Nader 3%

The ARG poll, which seems to have a Democratic bias, does show that Bush has closed the gap from the six point lead Kerry held in late June.

Why is Ohio so critical? It has 20 votes in the electoral college, and no Republican has ever been elected President without winning it. (There was a reason why, in the eleven Presidential elections between 1876 and 1920, Republicans nominated Ohioans - Hayes, Garfield, McKinley, Taft, and Harding - seven times. )

posted by Alexander K. McClure at 3:46 PM Link to this post | Comments (6)



To: Andrew N. Cothran who wrote (2377)7/26/2004 4:32:22 PM
From: American Spirit  Respond to of 4965
 
Kerry has an advantage in Florida the polls don't show. Polls use past voting turnout percentages. But this year the DEm turn-out will be huge, especially amongst minorities who were disenfranchised in 2000 by Jeb and his bunch of far right/white cheaters.