Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Sioux Nation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: redfish who wrote (162)	7/31/2004 10:04:43 PM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 360941

The Repubs have gone 100% negative now. I believe that will backfire. Everyone saw the real Kerry and will see him again. The rightwing dscription of him is completely inaccurate, almost the opposite of him. It will boomerrang right back into Bush's face and SPLAT him with mud. Shame on the negative and dishonest neocons.

To: redfish who wrote (162)	7/31/2004 10:43:27 PM
From: redfish	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 360941

Bush got a 4% convention bounce in the last elections. If you look at Reagan and Clinton, it appears that a sitting president tends to get a smaller bounce in his re-election bid. Clinton went from 16% to 5% Bush I went from 6% to 5% Reagan went from 8% to 4% Also republican conventions don't seem to provide much bang for the buck in recent elections: 2000 4% 1996 3% 1992 5% This is probably on account of republicans turning their conventions into pro-life fests. Based on past history, Bush will probably get a convention bounce of 3% or less, which will not be nearly enough to put him ahead of Kerry. Once the convention is over, the debates will be the only things that get much attention, and the odds of Bush looking good in those are miniscule. It will be a miracle if he can get through them without experiencing a full-blown psychotic episode that results in one of his secret service detail taking him down with a tranquilizer dart. Source for numbers: swingstateproject.com