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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Andrew N. Cothran who wrote (598342)8/1/2004 3:32:34 PM
From: Thomas A Watson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670
 
Poll: No boost for Kerry after convention WRONG
Sunday, Aug. 1, 2004 12:35 p.m. EDT

CNN/USA/Gallup: Bush Got Bounce from Kerry's Convention

The first poll taken in its entirety after the Democratic Convention shows a significant bounce - for the Bush Cheney ticket.

A CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Sunday shows that among likely voters, President Bush reaped a five point bounce from the Democratic confab, and he now leads Sen. Kerry, 50 to 47 percent.

The new numbers represent a sharp reversal from a July 19-21 CNN/USA Today/Gallup survey, which had Kerry leading Bush by two points, 49 to 47 percent.
.......
Commenting on the negative bounce for the Kerry Edwards ticket, dejected CNN political analyst Bill Schnieder said Sunday, "The convention rallied voters, but it rallied Republicans more than Democrats."

"All those questioned, were questioned after John Kerry's acceptance speech," lamented CNN's Wolf Blitzer.
newsmax.com



To: Andrew N. Cothran who wrote (598342)8/1/2004 3:49:49 PM
From: Kevin Rose  Respond to of 769670
 
Rasmussen shows Kerry today at 49% to Bush's 45%.

The variance in polling is probably both due to normal margin of error, and how they determine 'likely voters'. I believe the pollsters should post their raw 'registered voter' numbers, along with their 'opinion likely' voters. Then, a correlation could be made between the polls.

Too close to count, still. I believe the 'unlikely voters' will swing the balance.