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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: American Spirit who wrote (39468)	8/1/2004 7:10:07 PM
From: Ann Corrigan	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 81568

Kerry will win Pittsburgh & Philadelphia--period. If Nov 2 is a rainy day, he might lose one of them. Dem voters tend to be less motivated to get to the polls, even with the extensive "Buy the Vote" campaigns in both cities.

To: American Spirit who wrote (39468)	8/1/2004 7:12:28 PM
From: techguerrilla	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 81568

MaCain's the wild card here .......... .......... I simply refuse to believe that he's going to toe the line all the way to November for that idiot Bush. I don't know what to make of McCain. He should be pissed at Bush for what he did to him in 2000. He should also recognize Kerry's leadership ability and the mess with which we have to deal in Iraq. My buddy Tom Vilsack (I hear his wife Christie is awesome) may personally carry Iowa for the Democrats. Wisconsin can't possibly go red. That would be disgusting. You're right. Pennsylvania should go for Kerry and Bush has to win Ohio. If Bush loses Ohio, he's toast. The Iraq situation is going to deteriorate! Bush is looking worse and worse in the "war on terror" every day. That's Bush's main problem. This is so regardless whether a terrorist attack occurs in the U.S. prior to the election. The conventional wisdom is that Bush would "benefit" from a terrorist attack in this country. I think that is flat out wrong. It would only show the electorate how our resources have been diverted to Iraq. Bush's secondary problem is that Kerry is simply going to gain strength and stature with time and exposure. /john

To: American Spirit who wrote (39468)	8/1/2004 7:30:43 PM
From: CalculatedRisk	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 81568

Electoral college changes since 2000: In 2000, Bush won the electoral college 271 to 267 for Gore. If Bush wins the same states in 2004, he would win 278 to 260. This is because the congressional seats were reapportioned based on the 2000 census. Here are the differences between 2000 and 2004: Gain votes ... Texas +2 (Bush 2000, Bush 2004) Georgia +2 (Bush 2000, Bush 2004) Arizona +2 (Bush 2000, battleground 2004) Florida +2 (Bush 2000, battleground 2004) North Carolina +1 (Bush 2000, Bush 2004) Colorado +1 (Bush 2000, Bush 2004) Nevada +1 (Bush 2000, battleground 2004) California +1 (Gore 2000, Kerry 2004) Lose votes ... Oklahoma -1 (Bush 2000, Bush 2004) Mississippi -1 (Bush 2000, Bush 2004) Indiana -1 (Bush 2000, Bush 2004) Ohio -1 (Bush 2000, battleground 2004) Wisconsin -1 (Gore 2000, battleground 2004) Michigan -1 (Gore 2000, Kerry 2004) Illinios -1 (Gore 2000, Kerry 2004) Connecticut -1 (Gore 2000, Kerry 2004) Pennsylvania -2 (Gore 2000, Kerry 2004) New York -2 (Gore 2000, Kerry 2004) Kerry could hold all of Gore's states, pickup New Hampshire (4) and Nevada (5), and Kerry would still lose (it would be tied, and Bush wins the TIE).