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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (39538)	8/1/2004 10:51:01 PM
From: Lizzie Tudor	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 81568

I saw that poll on CNN. The "likely voters" are as you say, while "registered voters" are the opposite. In other words, a tie according to pollsters. But, as these things go (California recall, 98 elections)- angry voters usually go against the incumbent. In both of those elections, polls were saying close, and the actuals were landslides for the opponent. I really don't think there is any way Bush can win. He's just too much of an f-up. Its not a mandate on republicans in general, if they can get back to the mainstream and avoid the holy roller crusade. But Bush is just too far out there.

To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (39538)	8/1/2004 11:25:58 PM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 81568

Again, pay attention only to battleground state polls and voter turn-out. In places like Utah for instance, Bush leads by 45%, 32% in Oklahoma, 20+% in the deep south and Texas, but none of that extra support matters. Outside of New England, Kerry's leads are rather modest and all you need is one extra vote to win an entire state. As for turn-out, all these polls use 2000 percentages as their gauge yet this year every democrat I've met this past year is more motivated than ever before in his-her life to help Kerry win. That also goes for many who voted for Nader last time or who might usually not vote for anyone at all. Expect youth and minority turnouts to be bigger than ever. These polls undercount with those two groups because hisotically they don't vote that much. This year they will. Bush is just too much of a dishonest extremist. The thought of four more years of him just creeps out more than half the nation. He simply needs to go, and he must take Tom Delay with him. No more Texas oil types leading our nation. They stink.