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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (598503)	8/1/2004 11:25:36 PM
From: Victor Lazlo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

I think I know which one you'll think is accurate. btw, you never told me what kerry has done in the Senate the last 20 years. Heck, in the convention speech, he hardly even mentioned those 20 years of forgettable mediocrity.

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (598503)	8/1/2004 11:27:02 PM
From: Victor Lazlo	Respond to of 769670

The newsweek poll's bounce is the smallest post-convention bounce in the history of newsweek's polls. hmmmm..

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (598503)	8/1/2004 11:34:11 PM
From: jim-thompson	Respond to of 769670

that Matt Drudge is terrible saying that edwards wife ordered her usual triple stack in Wendy's. after kerry engaged the 3 Marines in conversation he threw out his bowl of chili so he could speed away and gobble up the food at the 5 star dinner he was on his way too....

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (598503)	8/1/2004 11:46:49 PM
From: jim-thompson	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

what is that ole moth eaten klu-klu-klan senator byrd doing now days? just makes me sick to think the democraps have not gotten rid of this sick bag of garbage...

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (598503)	8/2/2004 7:44:53 AM
From: John Carragher	Respond to of 769670

posted by lid on politics thread. Newsweek oversamples Dems to rig the results. Why am I not surprised? Powerline blog. In "A footnote on the Newsweek poll," I provided reader Greg Nesmith's breakdown of the party affiliation of the Newsweek poll respondents. The party affiliation of the respondents is not apparent on the linked page from Polling Report.com. Greg has written to clarify the calculations he performed in arriving at the party breakdown of the poll respondents: I did it algebraically. I'm sorry if I implied otherwise. The 1st column is Bush, 2nd is Kerry, 3rd is Nader, and 4th is undecided: Republicans 90 7 1 2 Democrats 8 86 1 5 Independents 39 45 7 9 Apply the percentages to the above breakdown and you get the split. The only reason this wouldn't work would be if there was a group that didn't identify themselves as GOP, Dems or Independents (and I can't imagine that) and Newsweek did not provide that data. Applying the calculated percentages: Bush = 30% x 90 + 38.5% x 8 + 31.5% x 39 = 42.365 Kerry = 30% x 7 + 38.5% x 86 + 31.5% x 45 = 49.385 Nader = 30% x 1 + 38.5% x 1 + 31.5% x 7 = 2.89 Undecided = 30% x 2 + 38.5% x 5 + 31.5% x 9 = 5.36 Rounding those off, you get the same overall result that Newsweek got, Kerry 49, Bush 42, Nader 3 and Undecided 6. Well, okay, the undecideds are a little bit short, but the actual breakdown may be a little different. Okay, I did it with a spreadsheet this time, and the breakdown is: Republicans 29% Democrats 36.5% Independents 34.5% As you can see, the Dems were still overpolled. Sorry it wasn't completely accurate the first time. I am an engineer my trade. "Close enough" is often our mantra. Ha! Put this in the category mentioned by Rocket Man below: Our readers do the work. powerlineblog.com