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Politics : John Kerry for President? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: longnshort who wrote (524)	8/2/2004 1:09:48 PM
From: American Spirit	Respond to of 3515

Kerry has insurmountable leads in more about 40% of the electoral vote states. The only fight is over about 20% of the country. Battleground states. Kerry will not lose a single Gore state and will get New Hampshire for sure. However if Bush wins everything else, Bush narrowly wins because of the changes in electoral votes. Therefore, Kerry needs only one extra small state to win. West Virginia, Nevada, anything. But more likely Florida and Ohio for a wipeout of Bush. A million new Hispanic voters in Florida this time and Kerry leads with 67% of Hispanic voters per ths most recent polls. Also much higher black and youth vote turn-out, two of Kerry's strongest groups. Kerry leads by 15% amongst women while Bush leads by only 5% amongst men and Kerry has tied him now with veterans. Ohio is resisting Bush so far. Kerry may even have a shot at Tennessee, North Carolina, Colorado and Arkansas. Stay tuned.