To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (21600 ) 8/3/2004 12:58:14 AM From: Gerald R. Lampton Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57684 From Strafor.com: Geopolitical Diary: Sunday, Aug. 1, 2004 August 02, 2004 * * * What the weekend has shown is that Bush can remain fairly passive. The dynamic works against Kerry, whose challenge will be to figure out a way to keep his voters locked in while moving to the center. We don't think we are exaggerating when we say the success of Michael Moore's vision of George W. Bush may have done more than anything else to help his re-election. By fueling the most extreme vision of Bush among Kerry's support base, Moore deprived Kerry of much room for maneuver. If Bush is the monster Moore portrays him to be, anything less than absolute opposition is unacceptable among Kerry supporters. If all Kerry has to offer is absolute opposition, Bush wins. Kerry will have to reshape the psychology of his base, which will not be easy to do. That was particularly demonstrated by Sunday's terrorism alert, when Ridge announced intelligence pointing to a pending attack. An interesting point here is that the Bush administration can push Kerry off the front page and off the first five minutes of news whenever it wants to. Given the fact that the overwhelming majority of voters believe there is a major threat from al Qaeda, the administration can rivet all attention there at will. Given that there is enough intelligence at any point to indicate that al Qaeda is about to poison all the cheese in Wisconsin or sink the Statue of Liberty, when to call an alert is pretty much up to Homeland Defense. It isn't that the alert isn't valid; it's just that there is a degree of flexibility in calling one. Kerry not only doesn't get a major bounce, not only doesn't hold it for more than a day, but by Sunday, he is pushed out of the public mind by Tom Ridge. Kerry has got to change the game somehow. stratfor.com (Sorry, this is a subscription site, and it ain't cheap, but I wanted to share at least this little tidbit in response to the comments about the "Alert Conspiracy.") BTW, Nanosys apparently goes public tomorrow, or so I read, and it seems like there is not nearly enough hype for an event of such significance. Or am I just listening in the wrong places?