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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: cirrus who wrote (39840)	8/2/2004 9:37:02 PM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 81568

Latest polls have Kerry leading by 8% and 6% also. You used the word "polls" then only cited one poll, the one you picked that shows Bush stronger than the others. They average out to about a 3.5% lead for Kerry which is not much but it's more solid now and may be the margin of victory. The convention basically solidified a lot of voters. Those who were leaning Kerry before are now solidly with him and vice versa. Bush won't get a bounce from his convention either probably. But even the USA Today poll which shows Bush tied with Kerry also shows Bush has a whopping 49% DISapproval rating. That means 49% of the people will absolutely not vote for Bush. But that totgeher with 58% of Americans thinking we're on the WRONG track and that's doubly distressing for Bushies. The reason there's little or no bounce was because the sides may now be solidly about 45%-45% with only about 10% undecided. But where are those voters and who will turn out? In battleground states Kerry has about a 5% lead. That is bad news for Bush. Bush's 45% lead in Utah doesn't matter. If he is one vote behind Kerry in Florida, Arizona, Mirrousi, Ohio or West Virginia though he loses. Bush has to win every single battleground state to win. Kerry only needs to win two. That's the real math.

To: cirrus who wrote (39840)	8/2/2004 9:45:37 PM
From: SiouxPal	Respond to of 81568

"Clinton's advisors met nearly weekly on how to stop bin Laden ... I didn't detect that kind of focus from the Bush administration." Two Star General Donald Kerrick "I don't believe any longer that it's a matter of connecting the dots. I think they had a veritable blueprint and we want to know why they didn't act on it." Senator Arlen Specter (R-pa) "Of course Bush knew about the impending attacks on America . He did nothing to warn the American people, because he needed this war on terrorism. His daddy had Saddam and he needed Osama. His presidency was going nowhere. He wasn't elected by the American people, but placed in the Oval Office by the conservative Supreme Court; the economy was sliding into the usual Republican pits and he needed something to hang his presidency on. This guy is a joke. His silence was sleazy and contemptible." Lt.Colonel Steve Butler Sioux on the prowl...

To: cirrus who wrote (39840)	8/2/2004 9:56:51 PM
From: ChinuSFO	Respond to of 81568

Bush has to win every single battleground state to win. Kerry only needs to win two. That's the real math. I agree with American Spirit when he says so. And here are the reasons why. The fact that there is no significant bounce such as in years past bodes well for Kerry. This shows one of two things. a. Majority of the people have already made up their minds and there remains only a smaller number of those who could be picked up in the remaining months. Such a situation is bad for any incumbent. Not a comfortable cushion IMO. b. Kerry needs to concentrate in just 1 state from either Ohio or Florida (large electoral college states). Or he can go after 2 to 3 smaller ones. Now at this stage the debates will be the clincher.