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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pezz who wrote (52088)8/5/2004 10:54:19 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Today's Report:

(a) I paid my annual premium for an endowment type of insurance product. Quaint, I know, but I have been doing so since 1993. I figured, correctly, that I can and did beat the implicit returns in the product, could easily have wasted the money on this or that, and the build up in value is not insubstantial;

(b) [WARNING: Adult content!] I got alerted to this ingenious Internet-enabled disintermediation site that combine Ebay style review and comparative shopping price discovery to the world’s oldest profession sex141.com - whoever said HK cannot keep up with modern times?

(c) I drafted a letter that initiates yet another clever idea which may not lead anywhere;

(d) I came home early to meet the car salesman and test drive this Lexus RX-300 SUV lexus.com .

I do not believe I need a car, and had sold my secondhand Mazda 626 earlier this year for USD 1,641 Message 19789055 <<February 10th, 2004>>, but my wife says different, and so I hunted around for the moolah.

I thought I will get this zung-fu.com for a get-about to the supermarket that is one mile away, but wife put the kabosh on the idea ;0
I would have been happy with a minihk.com , and wife said nada to that thought ;0/

So now I must swing for a safe car as transport to the supermarket that is 15 minutes away by walking. At 120% car tax rate in Hong Kong, the RX-300 is a ridiculous shopping cart, and cost ;0(

No, my wife does not drive, although she has a license :0?

As oil price rises, Jay, the contrarian, joins the SUV crowd.

I feel my life force draining away. But, unless Maurice hurries, I will have a Lexus before he does Message 17237296 <<Mar 23, 2002 … I haven't bought the Lexus yet>>

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (52088)8/9/2004 10:31:26 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Today's Report: Slowly but surely, my portfolio is climbing out of its shallow depression. Strange, as the market hesitates, wobbles, trips, and falls, my hoard of troops sway, undulate, gyrate, and party outside of their fox holes in a wickedly pleasurable way, and occasionally charge across the field of combat, to loot and loot again, with limited success but success none the less. Will the interesting times last?

Regarding finance.yahoo.com , I am anxious, and I do not even have a position in it. Will you dig in or will you decamp?

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (52088)8/10/2004 8:55:52 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Today’s Report: I purchased all the ancient Greek, Roman, and Byzantine gold coins (as opposed to silver and other varieties) available at a dealer. I intend to grab, engulf, devoir, loot, or harvest more in the future, across all of real and cyber space.

This latest addition, together with the ones I already have, is enough for a very classy charm bracelet.

I am now hoping to collect one example of every ancient gold coin available; figure my little collection will one day grow to fill the enormous clay piggy bank given to me by the insurance agent.

I hope the stories that go with each beautiful and precious coin will engender a love for the study of history in Erita, either that, or bring about the adoration of the ancient metal itself … ‘see, ancient gold, see modern paper’.

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (52088)8/13/2004 10:39:19 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Tonight’s Report:

(a) I sold my QQQ 2006 Jan Put strike 37 @ USD 6.2/shr, claiming 29% profit. They were bought here Message 19748281 <<January 29th, 2004>> and here again Message 19849155 <<February 25th, 2004>>

(b) I shorted 2 tranches of S&P MidCap Spyder finance.yahoo.com @ USD 100.87/shr. I chose to loot the MDY spyder instead of the DIA Diamonds finance.yahoo.com because it will be tougher for CNBC to spin the record trade deficit and rising oil price as positives, for example …

“the record trade deficit will drop the USD which will tend to boost translated the substantial export profit of S&P MidCaps” sounds stupid; and

“the rising oil price will benefit the S&P MidCaps as they slap on surcharges to their customers” sounds dumb.

Should the market rebound, I am prepared to add substantially more short positions.

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (52088)8/18/2004 11:08:04 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Tonight's Report:

I shorted a bunch of NEM Sept Call strike 42.5 @ 1.30/shr (covered)

I shorted a bunch of NEM Sept Call strike 40 @ 2.65/shr (covered)

Chugs, Jay

P.S. I have a equal short position in NEM Sept Put strike 40 from earlier time.



To: pezz who wrote (52088)8/18/2004 11:26:49 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hi Pezz, Tonight's Second Report:

I shorted PBR 2005 January Call strike 30 @ 2.40/shr (covered).

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (52088)8/22/2004 11:53:11 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Today’s Report:

I received confirmation that the following expired worthless on whomever bought the options from me back in January Message 19734439 <<January 26th, 2004>> :

I shorted AEM August Put strike 12.5 at USD 1.40/contract, and just as a puzzle for my opposite,
I shorted AEM August covered Call strike 15 at USD 0.70/contract :0)


… thus claiming USD 2.10/shr off a stock that is only selling for USD 13.81/shr. I hope I have cleared up the puzzle for my opposite, and it sure beats waiting for a dividend on QCOM, and a lot more fun ;0)

Here is the overall sequence of play for the AEM game:

http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=18253310
November 19th, 2002
(c) few dollops of Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) at 11.93, and

Shorted
(d) load of AEM May Put 12.5 and
(e) bunch of AEM May Call 12.5.

Message 18732391
March 21st, 2003
(a) Bought a dollop of Agnico Eagle Mine (AEM) @ 11.70/shr
(b) Short AEM Aug Call 12.5 @1.20 covered
(c) Short AEM Aug Put 12.5 @ 1.95

Message 18949830
May 15thy, 2003
Hello Pezz, Today’s Report:
Besides this overview description of expectation Message 18949706 I am anticipating the following:
(A) Expiration of this trade Message 18253310
November 19th, 2002
(c) few dollops of Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) at 11.93, and
(d) load of AEM May Put 12.5 and
(e) bunch of AEM May Call 12.5,
thus pocketing the USD 2.91/shr combined premium, USD 0.02 dividend, and be putted a load of AEM at 12.5, now priced by market at USD 10.65.

Message 19221008
August 18th, 2003
1/3rd of my US-traded Agnico Eagle Mines got called away at USD 12.5/shr while the current market price is USD 13.34. The Agnicos were purchased ( Message 18732391 March 21st, 2003) at USD 11.70, the 12.5 calls were shorted at USD 1.2/shr … and, oh, BTW, I had also shorted 12.5 puts at USD 2.25. Since the 12.5 calls were used against me, the 12.5 puts expired worthless :0)

Needless to say, but I will say anyway, I view the above trade as a classically good trade that is simple, elegant, profitable, and fun.

Message 19734439
January 26th, 2004
Hello Pezz, Report – Canadian Front:
I bought back my shorted AEM February Put strike 12.5 at USD 0.55/contract, realizing a negligible profit of USD 0.25/shr Message 19228192 <<August 21st, 2003>>;

I decided to leave the other part of the Siamese twins trade Message 19228192 <<August 21st, 2003>> alone, allowing the AEM February Call strike 15 to expire worthless on my opposite speculator, claiming his USD 1.3/contract premium as my prize.

After I got done with my opposite speculator in the above described game, I tempted the person with a brand new exchange that he is not so familiar with :0)
I shorted AEM August Put strike 12.5 at USD 1.40/contract, and just as a puzzle for my opposite,

I shorted AEM August covered Call strike 15 at USD 0.70/contract :0)
… the opposite speculator agreed!

To remind you, my underlying AEM positions were accumulated so, some by pillaging and others by foraging:
Message 18253310 <<November 19th, 2002>>
Message 18732391 <<March 21st, 2003>>
Message 18949830 <<May 15th, 2003>>
Message 19221008 <<August 18th, 2003>>
… I will skip the tallying, because I know, ultimately I will have a bunch of AEMs with effectively zero cost basis [EDIT: getting closer];0)

As I mentioned many times, I think option premium is like rent, and one should never be completely without it, as if it is air.

<<Unloaded some deadwood that if I had the slightest clue as to what the hell I wuz doin I would've done last week! ... got outa the NEM biz @ 6.90 paid 10.70 ... bullish for you ...and others.... who know who they are. Nonetheless hada stop the pain.Hope gold goes to ZERO! %^)>>

Yes, you did not go with the Force ;0)

As the Albino priest in "The Da Vinci Code" would say, '<<pain>> is good', for that is how we get to reflect and learn, even if only for a nano-second before we are finally, as in really, done ;0)

There is much to learn about gold, and the first lesson is, 'it has no correct price', and so zero is as good a guess as a million, in any currency unit :0)

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (52088)8/24/2004 11:25:22 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Tonight's Report:

(a) Sold my Alliance Resource (coal) Limited Partnership at USD 48.90, claiming mucho profit as well as pocketing plenty of dividends since Message 19005086 <<June 5th, 2003>> when it was USD 26.9 :0)

(b) Sold my Fording Canadian Coal (coal again) at CAD 59.55, claiming plenty of profit and absconding with mucho distributions since Message 19590980 <<December 12th, 2003>> when it was CAD 39.69 :0)

(c) Cut my losses on CHK, the dog, now that oil is no longer the in-thing, at USD 13.76-13.77, admitting to a loss since Message 20325528 <<July 19th, 2004>>. Not brilliant, but NBD, and nothing that cannot be fixed.

If I can keep winning at 50-80% rate, plus dividends, and keep losing at 14%, I will do fine, mathematically speaking :0)

I any case, sure beats QCOM :0) LTTB (laughing to the bank).

Chugs, Jay