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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Brumar89 who wrote (40396)8/4/2004 10:30:16 PM
From: WaynersRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 81568
 
There is a think tank and that may not be the right word, that has put together a formula based on data that has been remarkably accurate at predicting the Presidential Election outcomes. As I recall economic data was a major factor. I wish I could remember the name of the group. Their analysis of this race is it won't even be close with Bush winning easily.



To: Brumar89 who wrote (40396)8/5/2004 12:13:24 AM
From: ChinuSFORespond to of 81568
 
Right now the polls look even. But that's an optical illusion. The President has a Republican convention coming up and the power of incumbency to shape events between now and November. In other words, he's way ahead.

How can an incumbent be neck to neck. When almost 4 years and scores of events could not place him in a decent sized lead, how can a single event like a convention do so for him? You think he will get a bounce when only 5% are undecided?


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