To: ild who wrote (17587 ) 8/11/2004 1:55:05 PM From: Proud Deplorable Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194 Morgan Stanley.....why do we keep going to sources like this for information? These clowns are vested in keeping investors ignorant about whats really going down. Here's an example from the article:"The oil bubble, however, is different from previous bubbles. It creates inflation and forces central banks to raise interest rates. That could deflate the property bubble, which would in turn kill the oil bubble also. If the global property bubble deflates in an environment of rising interest rates, it will likely lead to a global recession. I put the odds for such a scenario at 30% for the second half of 2005." Got news for these idiots....Oil will NEVER EVER again be at the low levels we are currently seeing. It will continue up and away. There are no good reasons I can see for oil going down. As the world population grows demand for oil grows simple simple...it s supply problem and all the BS propaganda coming from those tyrants in Saudi won't change the inevitable as their oil fields fill with water. As for the Chinese....this is very funny. Chinese are not Americans and don't roll over and play dead periodically. There is no stopping them now in my opinion and I wouldn't be the least bit concerned about commodities falling off dramatically any time soon. So, recession in the USA yes but this won't pop any so called "oil bubble"....opinion. also...."China’s property market is a vast bubble, in my view." Well DUH! But to try to make a connection between housing prices and oil prices is simply a journalist with nothing to do but run on.....like writers Montezumas Lastly the writer says:"Further, the higher oil price is sparking inflation, forcing central banks to increase interest rates. The property bubble thrives on low interest rates and plentiful of liquidity. As central banks raise interest rates, the property bubble should deflate. Hence, I don’t see how the oil and property bubbles can coexist for long. The market is exhibiting considerable enthusiasm over oil, predicting an ever-rising oil price. This is a bubble phenomenon, in my view." This is completely and totally incorrect. The CBs of the UK, AUS and NZ have expressed concern about the high price of houses and have raised interest rates specifically to try to kill the housing market speculation. This writer is ignorant to what CBs are thinking.