Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (60619)	8/15/2004 2:04:34 PM
From: Andrew N. Cothran	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793838

Poll Watchers' Delight: Dog days: What August means to November Published August 15, 2004 Some polls show that Democratic nominees John Kerry and John Edwards got a little bump after the Democratic National Convention, but the real measure of their contest with President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney is to come. Big leads in August can translate into big victories in November, a look at polls across recent history shows. And the tighter the race in the dog days, the closer the margin come November. 1972 Richard Nixon (R) (Winner) George McGovern (D) AUGUST LEAD: 26% VICTORY MARGIN: 23% 1976 Jimmy Carter (D) (Winner) Gerald Ford (R) AUGUST LEAD: 22% VICTORY MARGIN: 2% 1980 Ronald Reagan (R) (Winner) Jimmy Carter (D) AUGUST LEAD: 16% VICTORY MARGIN: 10% 1984 Ronald Reagan (R) (Winner) Walter Mondale (D) AUGUST LEAD: 12% VICTORY MARGIN: 18% 1988 George Bush (R) (Winner) Michael Dukakis (D) AUGUST DEFICIT: 7% VICTORY MARGIN: 8% 1992 Bill Clinton (D) (Winner) George Bush (R) AUGUST LEAD: 12% VICTORY MARGIN: 6% 1996 Bill Clinton (D) (Winner) Bob Dole (R) AUGUST LEAD: 12% VICTORY MARGIN: 9% 2000 George W. Bush (R) (Winner) Al Gore (D) AUGUST DEFICIT: 1% VICTORY MARGIN: -0.5%* 2004 August poll Bush: 46% Kerry: 45% * Bush lost the popular vote but won the electoral vote. Note: Poll results for those with no preference, and poll and election results for third-party candidates not shown. Bush-Kerry data from a Gallup Poll of 897 registered voters nationwide conducted Aug. 9-11. Margin of error 4 percentage points. Sources: The Gallup Organization, Congressional Quarterly's Guide to U.S. Elections, PollingReport.com Copyright © 2004, Chicago Tribune