To: Gus who wrote (605808 ) 8/18/2004 11:52:00 PM From: puborectalis Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769667 Poll: Kerry margin widening in California presidential race By: MICHAEL R. BLOOD - Associated Press Writer LOS ANGELES (AP) -- Democrat John Kerry has opened up a 16 percentage-point lead over President Bush in California, his candidacy boosted by strong support from independents, Hispanics and women, a poll found Monday. Kerry's commanding margin in the poll by the Public Policy Institute of California represented a 5-point jump from July, when he held an 11 percentage-point lead over the president. Pollster Mark Baldassare said the Democratic ticket is benefiting from Ralph Nader's failure to collect enough signatures to make the ballot in California this year as an independent candidate. In 2000, Nader won about 4 percent of the presidential vote in the state. The poll found that the Massachusetts senator had the support of 64 percent of independent voters, up from 50 percent July. "There is virtually no support for candidates outside the major parties this time around, and it's helping the Democrats," Baldassare said. The findings were based on a telephone survey -- conducted from Aug. 4 to Aug. 11 -- of 1,117 likely state voters. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The poll found the Democratic ticket of Kerry and John Edwards held substantial leads over their GOP rivals in key demographic groups including women, 58 percent to 34 percent, and Hispanics, 68 percent to 26 percent. In another troubling sign for the president's fortunes in the state, the survey said a broader sample of 2,002 residents found that Bush's approval rating in California was 40 percent. Sixty-three percent said they disapproved of how Bush was handling Iraq, and voters were roughly split over the president's handling of terrorism and homeland security. Likely voters named the economy and jobs as the top issue in the state, followed by Iraq, terrorism and education. Kerry was favored over Bush by a wide margin, 60 percent to 33 percent, among those who identified the economy and jobs as the top issue. Bush was favored by a similar margin among those who identified terrorism as the top concern. While Bush is struggling in the state, his fellow Republican, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, remains widely popular. The poll found 65 percent of adults approve of the way the governor is doing his job, including 57 percent of Democrats. The survey said Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer is holding a 53 percent to 36 percent edge over Republican Bill Jones, with 10 percent undecided. And three in ten voters said they weren't satisfied with the choices for Senate on the ballot this year, the poll found. The poll said two of three voters support a ballot initiative, Proposition 63, that would increase the personal income tax on wealthy residents to fund mental health services. Proposition 1A, which is intended to protect local government treasuries from raids from Sacramento, is favored 60 percent to 25 percent, the poll said.