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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (18024)8/24/2004 7:09:22 PM
From: loantech  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Might mean rates will fall the way they have been going.



To: russwinter who wrote (18024)8/24/2004 8:53:19 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
<<<commercials now record short the 5 year Treasury>>>
5 and 30 year have been very volatile in terms of COTs:
softwarenorth.net
softwarenorth.net
but commercials are still long 10 year
softwarenorth.net

<<<For the 5/10/30 subgroup they've gone from long 265,500 on 7/27 to short 34,671 now>>>
They were right in July as bonds have gone up. Now they are neutral. Today's setup means they expect flattening of the yield curve. Not good for carry trade.



To: russwinter who wrote (18024)8/24/2004 10:02:36 PM
From: Square_Dealings  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
So commercials are short treasuries, gold, oil
long stock market

the VIX is at 15

hope nothing goes wrong....

cnn.com